Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Magdalena Andersson 71%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
98 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
71.0% / 77.0%
Spread
8.4%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
8. Juli 26, 0:001. Jan. 28, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Magdalena Andersson71%
Volumentrend
$118. Juli4T Daten13. Juli
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If Magdalena Andersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Ulf Kristersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jimmie Åkesson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.