Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet 47%+0.1%
Piyasa kalitesi
40 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺0
Likidite
₺162,6 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
40.0% / 54.0%
Spread
35.0%
Geniş spread7g Değişim
-0.5%
Piyasa verileri
15 dakika önce guncellendi
10 Haz 26 16:292 Eki 26 3:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Yes47%
Platformları karşılaştır· No
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiGenel en iyi%92 eşleşme · oto | Yüksek | 52% | +4pt | ₺31,9 B | ₺1,4 Mn | 15 dakika önce | Aç → |
 PolymarketBu sayfa | Düşük | 53% | +5pt | ₺0 | ₺162,6 B | 15 dakika önce |
Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
1.0%2ay
52%
-1.0%48%
91 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺2,5 Mn
24s Hacim₺31,9 B
KALSHIKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
- A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
- A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
- Partial shutdowns qualify.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$69 Tem10g veri24 Tem
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
- A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
- A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
- Partial shutdowns qualify.