KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 98%
Piyasa kalitesi
58 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺102,4 B
Likidite
₺12,8 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlış / Satış
- / 2.0%
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
9 Haz 26 20:30 UTC1 Eki 26 14:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PolymarketOn which dates will the US government be shutdown?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a government shutdown before January 2027?
Manifold Markets(5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS government budget balance in 2026
KalshiFrance’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiKurallar
If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable.
- Examples that would resolve the market to Yes:
- OMB releases a formal directive that orders heads of the affected agencies to "execute plans for an orderly shutdown," which is in effect as of 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026 OPM posts a current operating status that indicates that "due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency"
- Examples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes:
- A technical lapse in appropriations occurs, but OMB directs agencies to continue standard operations Government closures or operating status changes resulting from Federal holidays, inclement weather, or other emergencies, unless such closures coincide with a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
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+39 daha fazla sonuç
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate44.3%
- D-House, R-Senate34.9%
- R-House, R-Senate+5.0pt18.9%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
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- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- IA-01 House winner?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 98% fiyatlıyor.
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ekim 2026.
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Manifold Markets, Polymarket.