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Şirket

Tüzel Kişilik
Bees-x Limited
Şirket Numarası
13308136
Kuruluş Yeri
England and Wales
Kayıtlı Ofis
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm, Bees-x Limited tarafından işletilen bir bilgi ve araştırma hizmetidir. Düzenlenmiş faaliyetleri yürütmek üzere Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) tarafından yetkilendirilmemiştir ve bu sitedeki hiçbir içerik finansal tavsiye değildir.

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  1. Tahmin Piyasaları
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  3. Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

PolitikaOne-OffEkonomiUS PoliticsSeçim3ay
KalshiKalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücret
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet
Evet 37%
Piyasa kalitesi

49 / 100

Düşük kalite
24s Hacim

₺131,5

Likidite

₺191,2

Düşük likidite
Alis / Satis

36.0% / 37.0%

Spread

2.8%

Dar spread
Piyasa verileri

8 dakika önce guncellendi

9 Haz 26 20:301 Eki 26 14:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

Yes37%

Kurallar

If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable.
  • Examples that would resolve the market to Yes:
  • OMB releases a formal directive that orders heads of the affected agencies to "execute plans for an orderly shutdown," which is in effect as of 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026 OPM posts a current operating status that indicates that "due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency"
  • Examples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes:
  • A technical lapse in appropriations occurs, but OMB directs agencies to continue standard operations Government closures or operating status changes resulting from Federal holidays, inclement weather, or other emergencies, unless such closures coincide with a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations

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Kurallar

If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable.
  • Examples that would resolve the market to Yes:
  • OMB releases a formal directive that orders heads of the affected agencies to "execute plans for an orderly shutdown," which is in effect as of 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026 OPM posts a current operating status that indicates that "due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency"
  • Examples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes:
  • A technical lapse in appropriations occurs, but OMB directs agencies to continue standard operations Government closures or operating status changes resulting from Federal holidays, inclement weather, or other emergencies, unless such closures coincide with a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations