Güncel topluluk tahmini
Feb 1 2026 100%13 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
49
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-40.1 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
24 Oca 26 22:4629 Kas 26 22:43
Trendler
100%
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Kurallar
If the government is shut down for at least 1 minute on the listed date, Washington DC time, resolves yes for that date.
- Resolution will be based on whether a shutdown notice is visible on the OPM (Office of Personnel Management) site for at least part of a day.
- If a notice is visible on the OPM site for any portion of a given date, that date will resolve YES.
- Otherwise it will resolve NO.
- A shut down end will be determined by the date on which the funding package required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted.
- The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺61,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺46,3 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt53.9%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.2pt43.1%
- Renan Santos-0.7pt2%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt30.9%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.4%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff15.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt60%
- October 31-1.0pt36%
- September 30-2.0pt17%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- On which dates will the US government be shutdown? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 4 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Feb 1 2026 için 100% fiyatlıyor.
- On which dates will the US government be shutdown? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- On which dates will the US government be shutdown? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 29 Kasım 2026.
- On which dates will the US government be shutdown? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the government is shut down for at least 1 minute on the listed date, Washington DC time, resolves yes for that date.