Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 55.5%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
19 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 May 26 08:16 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PolymarketOn which dates will the US government be shutdown?
Manifold Markets(5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027?
Manifold MarketsGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiUS government shutdown on October 1st 2026?
Manifold MarketsGovernment shutdown by October 1?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any part of the United States federal government shuts down due to a lapse in appropriations at any point before 12:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- A "shutdown" is defined as a formal cessation of non-essential government operations caused by the failure of Congress to pass, and the President to sign, necessary appropriations legislation (continuing resolutions or full-year budgets).
- Official confirmation from sources such as the U.S. Senate Committee on Appropriations or major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, Bloomberg) confirming that federal agencies have initiated shutdown procedures will be used to resolve the market.
- If a shutdown occurs but is resolved within the same day without a significant disruption to non-essential services, the market will still resolve YES if an official lapse in appropriations was acknowledged by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB).
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be a government shutdown before January 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 56% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be a government shutdown before January 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be a government shutdown before January 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will there be a government shutdown before January 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria