(5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027?
EkonomiOne-OffUS PoliticsPolitika3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiShutdown 2 46.3%5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli27 Ağu 26 20:07 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
This market uses a nonstandard mechanism that multiplies the odds of the underlying event by 5x.
- Please read the full description before trading.
- For fairness, and because of the nonstandard mechanism, I will not trade on any market in this Set.
- The reason I made this mechanism is because I noticed that due to the multiplier mechanism other multiplied odds markets tend to have their results N/A, which reverts all trades on the market, this means there is no reward for trading information even if the market does resolve correctly.
- This way all 5 of the markets should always have the same odds, and for one of them trades on it will not revert.
- There is no mechanism to force trading on all 5 markets, which means they can (but shouldn't) separate.
Açık piyasalar
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺75,8 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺31,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,9 Mn
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺620 B
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-4.0pt56%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺678,5 B
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺997,4 B
- CPI in September
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
Sık sorulan sorular
- (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Shutdown 2 için 46% fiyatlıyor.
- (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- (5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market uses a nonstandard mechanism that multiplies the odds of the underlying event by 5x.