Güncel ima edilen olasılık
December 31, 2027 25%7 seçenek arasında lider
December 31, 2027 25%Piyasa kalitesi
73 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺954,1 B
Likidite
₺6,3 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
2.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-3.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
26 dakika önce güncellendi
5 Kas 25 19:35 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
September 30, 2026Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 0% ·
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Polymarket
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Minimum emir (pay):
- 5
- Fiyat adımı:
- 1 yüzde puan
- İşlem ücreti:
- Evet
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Friedrich Merz cease to be chancellor before 14th October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Hendrik Wüst succeed Friedrich Merz as the leader of the CDU?
Manifold MarketsWho replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
PolymarketWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.