KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıİşlem etkinliği yok
17 Eyl 2026 08:25 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Before Oct 1, 2026 0%8 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
24 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Likidite
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Likidite bilinmiyorSpread
15.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
17 Eyl 26 04:00 UTC1 Eki 26 03:59 UTC
Trendler
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
PolymarketWill Hendrik Wüst succeed Friedrich Merz as the leader of the CDU?
Manifold MarketsWho replaces Merz as Chancellor before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
PolymarketWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiKurallar
If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left as Chancellor of Germany the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Federal Government of GermanyGerman BundestagOffice of the Federal Chancellor of GermanyReutersAssociated Press
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 17 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before Oct 1, 2026 için 0% fiyatlıyor.
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ekim 2026.
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left as Chancellor of Germany the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.