Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 79.8%
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26
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Şub 26 18:37 UTC1 Oca 27 00:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow high will US unemployment go in 2026?
PolymarketWill US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.2% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExKurallar
Resolves YES if BLS reports US unemployment rate above 4.5% for any month in 2026.
- Current rate ~4.0%.
- Key risk factors: tariff-driven disruption, federal workforce reductions.
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53%
- No change-3.0pt46%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺98 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mn
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺604,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺604,1 B
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺428 B
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺374,6 B
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+2.0pt6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺165 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺284 B
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Recession in 2027?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- CPI in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI core in August
- Unemployment in September
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 80% fiyatlıyor.
- Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if BLS reports US unemployment rate above 4.5% for any month in 2026.