Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 85%
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Haz 26 16:46 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiWill the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.2% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports a seasonally adjusted monthly civilian unemployment rate (U-3) of 5.1% or higher for any month in the calendar year 2026.
- If no monthly rate in 2026 reaches 5.1% or higher, the market resolves to NO.
- Primary Source: The monthly BLS Employment Situation Summary.
- The historical series can also be tracked via FRED (UNRATE).
- Scope: Covers the 12 reference months of 2026 (January 2026 through December 2026).
