Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?

Inflation6ay

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler

11 Haz 2026 17:25 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2

Güncel topluluk tahmini

y ≥ 2.0% 100%

9 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

44 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

20 Kas 25 18:291 Şub 27 23:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

y ≥ 2.0%

100%

y ≥ 2.5%

100%

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

y ≥ 4.5%57%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.

If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
Please adjust your prices accordingly.
Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.

Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar

BitcoinBTC$64,459.34+0.68%

EthereumETH$1,885.47+1.49%

SolanaSOL$75.07+1.51%

İlgili Piyasalar

Fed Decision in July?

₺89,3 Mn

No change: 79%

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike in 2026?

₺2,7 Mn

Evet: 72%

POLYMARKET

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

₺500 B

Above 3.4%: 29%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike by which date?

CPI in July

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

₺182,2 B

Republican president, <2%: 23.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Bu konularda aktif

BNBBNB$571.53+1.16%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0736+6.19%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.88%

İlgili Haberler

CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News

Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph

Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News

Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News

Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.News

Kurallar

If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
Please adjust your prices accordingly.
Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.

Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?

Inflation6ay

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler

11 Haz 2026 17:25 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2

Güncel topluluk tahmini

y ≥ 2.0% 100%

9 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

44 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

20 Kas 25 18:291 Şub 27 23:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

y ≥ 2.0%

100%

y ≥ 2.5%

100%

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

y ≥ 4.5%57%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
Please adjust your prices accordingly.
Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.

Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar

BitcoinBTC$64,459.34+0.68%

EthereumETH$1,885.47+1.49%

SolanaSOL$75.07+1.51%

İlgili Piyasalar

Fed Decision in July?

₺89,3 Mn

No change: 79%

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike in 2026?

₺2,7 Mn

Evet: 72%

POLYMARKET

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

₺500 B

Above 3.4%: 29%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike by which date?

CPI in July

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

₺182,2 B

Republican president, <2%: 23.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Bu konularda aktif

BNBBNB$571.53+1.16%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0736+6.19%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.88%

İlgili Haberler

CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News

Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph

Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News

Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News

Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.News

Kurallar

If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
Please adjust your prices accordingly.
Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.