Will two Democratic and two GOP Senators cosponsor an AI bill that mentions widespread job loss from AI before 2030?
EkonomiYZOne-OffPolitikaABD SiyasetiOrta Doğu3y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 60.1%
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
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35 dakika önce güncellendi
7 Nis 26 04:16 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2030, a bill is introduced in the United States Senate that meets all of the following conditions:
- It is formally cosponsored by at least two Democratic Senators and at least two Republican Senators.
- The text of the bill explicitly mentions "widespread job loss" (or a grammatically equivalent phrase clearly referring to the phenomenon of broad-based unemployment) resulting from artificial intelligence.
- The market will resolve to NO if no such bill is introduced and cosponsored by January 1, 2030.
