Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"?
RegülasyonOne-OffYZ3yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 64.9%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Tem 26 00:38 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
A new unique model so not opus, sonnet, haiku, fable etc
- Resolution criteria
- Target Model: This market resolves based on the first brand-new, uniquely named Claude model tier or family released by Anthropic after July 1, 2026.
- To qualify, the model must use a completely new class/tier name (e.g., if Anthropic releases "Claude 6 Sonnet" or "Fable 6", it does not count).
- It must not belong to the Opus, Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos families.
- Definition of "Banned": The model will resolve YES if, within 90 days of its official public release (via API or web interface), any of the following occur:
Açık piyasalar
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- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺702,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
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KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-10.0pt41%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-19.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
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- Before May 1, 2027+5.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-4.0pt47%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,9 Mn
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 65% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: A new unique model so not opus, sonnet, haiku, fable etc