KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Before Jan 20, 2029 76%-2.0pt3 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
73 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺296,5 B
Likidite
₺14,5 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
2.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Haz 25 14:00 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWeed rescheduled by which date?
PolymarketWill a U.S. state legalize marijuana in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhat’s the next state to legalize recreational marijuana? 🍁
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiKurallar
If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:SemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCthe United States CongressThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPolitico
- If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
- Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
- Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I. The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
- The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.
- If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will marijuana be rescheduled? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before Jan 20, 2029 için 76% fiyatlıyor.
- Will marijuana be rescheduled? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will marijuana be rescheduled? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.