Regulation | Tahmin Piyasaları

Mexico vs. South Africa - Exact Score

0.5%12s

1 - 0

+2.0%19%

2 - 0

-0.5%17%

1 - 1

11%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

89 • Yüksek kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$125,3 B

24s Hacim$62 B

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by __?

12.5%1y

December 31,

90%

October 31,

-12.5%68%

September 30,

+2.5%16%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

100 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$257,7 B

24s Hacim$25,7 B

POLYMARKET

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

1.0%6ay

Evet

+0.0%49%

Hayır

-0.0%52%

100 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$1,3 Mn

24s Hacim$8,9 B

POLYMARKET

Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Exact Score

0.5%19s

1 - 1

+0.5%15%

1 - 0

+2.0%13%

0 - 0

+0.4%11%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$18,2 B

24s Hacim$10,4 B

POLYMARKET

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

0.8%

70-80B

+1.9%95%

80-90B

-0.8%2%

50-60B

-0.1%1%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$334,5 B

24s Hacim$6,8 B

POLYMARKET

United States vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

1 - 0

-1.5%14%

1 - 1

+1.5%14%

Any Other Score

+5.5%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$10,5 B

24s Hacim$1,2 B

POLYMARKET

Netherlands vs. Japan - Exact Score

1.0%3g

Any Other Score

-4.5%27%

1 - 1

+2.0%14%

1 - 0

+1.0%12%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$69,5 B

24s Hacim$3 B

POLYMARKET

Spain vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score

2.0%4g

Any Other Score

+5.0%27%

2 - 0

+2.0%17%

3 - 0

+3.0%17%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2,5 B

24s Hacim$1,8 B

POLYMARKET

Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score

1.5%2g

Any Other Score

+18.5%30%

0 - 2

-15.0%16%

0 - 1

-15.5%14%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2,4 B

24s Hacim$1,5 B

POLYMARKET

What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]

Kill everyone - Liron

Make fine distinctions of taste at the level of a food critic or a culinary professional - carl feynman

8.8%

teleoperate a robot to tidy up random kitchens - Gary Marcus

34.5%

+36 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini301 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$72 B

24s Hacim$25 B

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador - Exact Score

0.1%3g

Any Other Score

+20.6%26%

0 - 1

+8.0%16%

1 - 1

+4.0%16%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2 B

24s Hacim$1,1 B

POLYMARKET

IR Iran vs. New Zealand - Exact Score

0.5%4g

Any Other Score

-5.0%30%

1-0

13%

0-0

+1.5%12%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$1,7 B

24s Hacim$1,4 B

POLYMARKET

Germany vs. Curaçao - Exact Score

3.0%3g

Any Other Score

+7.0%54%

3 - 0

-0.5%16%

2 - 0

-3.0%8%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2 B

24s Hacim$1,2 B

POLYMARKET

Australia vs. Türkiye - Exact Score

0.5%2g

Any Other Score

+13.5%23%

0 - 1

+0.5%14%

0 - 2

+1.0%12%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$1,5 B

24s Hacim$253,9

POLYMARKET

Brazil vs. Morocco - Exact Score

0.5%2g

1 - 0

-0.5%14%

1 - 1

-1.0%13%

2 - 0

-0.5%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$5,2 B

24s Hacim$767,2

POLYMARKET

Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

0.1%2g

Any Other Score

+12.0%25%

0 - 1

-0.5%14%

0 - 2

+1.0%14%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$599,9

24s Hacim$385,5

POLYMARKET

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

0.5%

1.75-2.00T

-0.5%94%

1.50-1.75T

-0.1%3%

2.00-2.25T

-0.1%2%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

68 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$208,8 B

24s Hacim$390,3

POLYMARKET

France vs. Senegal - Exact Score

2.0%5g

Any Other Score

35%

1-0

-0.5%13%

2-0

-1.0%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$446,3

24s Hacim$424

POLYMARKET

Argentina vs. Algeria - Exact Score

1.5%5g

Any Other Score

-0.5%35%

2-0

+0.5%16%

1-0

-0.5%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$317,9

24s Hacim$288,6

POLYMARKET

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

18g

Railbird

+1.4%100%

CME

+0.5%100%

LedgerX

+20.4%100%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$118,2 B

24s Hacim$256,1

POLYMARKET

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia - Exact Score

34.0%6g

Any Other Score

35%

0-1

+1.0%16%

0-2

-14.0%14%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$1 B

24s Hacim$292,2

POLYMARKET

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

2.0%1ay

$2.3B

92%

$2.5B

87%

$2.7B

-11.5%41%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$18,3 B

24s Hacim$944

POLYMARKET

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

19g

Before Jul 1, 2026

99%

Before Aug 1, 2026

99%

Before Sep 1, 2026

99%

+11 daha fazla sonuç

83 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$66,8 B

24s Hacim$111,2

KALSHI

Portugal vs. DR Congo - Exact Score

3.0%6g

Any Other Score

+19.5%36%

2-0

-34.0%15%

1-0

13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$418,8

24s Hacim$393,9

POLYMARKET

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

33.0%6ay

OpenAI

-33.0%56%

Databricks

-3.0%9%

Anthropic

-1.0%90%

+22 daha fazla sonuç

79 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$18,3 B

24s Hacim$272,1

KALSHI

🇩🇪GER vs 🇨🇼CUW [World Cup '26]

🇩🇪 Germany

94.8%

🇨🇼 Curaçao

1.9%

Draw

3.3%

Topluluk tahmini12 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$9,1 B

24s Hacim$3,1 B

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score

Any Other Score

+23.5%31%

1-0

13%

1-1

+3.5%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$555,4

24s Hacim$202,4

POLYMARKET

🇲🇽MEX vs 🇿🇦RSA [World Cup '26]

15s

🇲🇽 Mexico

68.8%

🇿🇦 South Africa

11.1%

Draw

20.1%

Topluluk tahmini23 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$2,9 B

24s Hacim$2 B

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Belgium vs. Egypt - Exact Score

0.5%4g

Any Other Score

+26.5%34%

2 - 0

+0.5%13%

1 - 0

-1.0%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$212

24s Hacim$199,2

POLYMARKET

Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

24y

Commercial fusion power

39.6%

Regenerative Medicine

90%

Solar panels with 40% efficiency

83.6%

+85 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini274 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$84 B

24s Hacim$109

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Game 5: Vegas at Carolina: Total Points

14g

Over 6.5 goals scored

45%

Over 5.5 goals scored

58%

Over 3.5 goals scored

88%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

63 • Orta kaliteDar spreadDüşük likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$1,4 B

24s Hacim$1,1 B

KALSHI

🇨🇦CAN vs 🇧🇦BIH [World Cup '26]

🇨🇦 Canada

52.4%

🇧🇦 Bosnia-Herzegovina

19.7%

Draw

27.9%

Topluluk tahmini16 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$1,5 B

24s Hacim$1,2 B

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

1ay

Before Aug 1, 2026

Before Oct 1, 2026

-40.0%18%

Before Jan 1, 2027

-23.0%65%

+11 daha fazla sonuç

52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$8 B

24s Hacim$731,3

KALSHI

Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC - Exact Score

11.5%1g

Any Other Score

+10.0%34%

3-3

-9.6%25%

0-3

-10.6%25%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$867,1

24s Hacim$125

POLYMARKET

England vs. Croatia - Exact Score

34.0%6g

1-1

-2.0%12%

2-1

-34.0%12%

1-0

-36.0%11%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$460,8

24s Hacim$248,1

POLYMARKET

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

6ay

Evet

16%

Hayır

84%

60 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$16 B

24s Hacim$212,5

KALSHI

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

3.0%6ay

Before 2027

+3.0%49%

Before August

-11.0%18%

Before July

-0.1%3%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

60 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$20,1 B

24s Hacim$109,1

KALSHI

South Africa vs. Korea Republic - Exact Score

25.0%13g

0-0

+4.0%48%

0-3

+2.5%48%

1-3

+4.0%48%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$295,6

24s Hacim$295,6

POLYMARKET

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

18g

June 30

23%

May 31

-4.5%0%

44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$13,6 B

24s Hacim$114,2

POLYMARKET

Jordan vs. Argentina - Exact Score

1.0%16g

Any Other Score

+15.5%41%

0-2

-3.5%11%

1-2

-1.0%9%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$363,3

24s Hacim$123,3

POLYMARKET

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

6ay

≥$1T

100%

≥$1.25T

100%

≥$1.5T

98%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini18 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$3,4 B

24s Hacim$438,7

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Norway vs. France - Exact Score

1.0%15g

Any Other Score

35%

0-1

-3.0%10%

1-0

+0.5%9%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$140,1

24s Hacim$127,6

POLYMARKET

Canada vs. Qatar - Exact Score

1.0%7g

Any Other Score

+1.5%35%

2-0

-1.0%17%

1-0

-2.0%14%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$134,2

24s Hacim$128,6

POLYMARKET

New Zealand vs. Belgium - Exact Score

1.0%15g

Any Other Score

35%

0-2

-4.0%12%

0-1

-3.0%10%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$123,3

24s Hacim$123,3

POLYMARKET

Czechia vs. Mexico - Exact Score

1.0%13g

Any Other Score

35%

0-1

-17.0%10%

1-0

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$121,6

24s Hacim$121,6

POLYMARKET

SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026

3ay

≥$1T

100%

≥$1.25T

100%

≥$1.5T

98%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini13 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$3 B

24s Hacim$334,2

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🇵🇹POR vs 🇨🇩COD [World Cup '26]

🇵🇹 Portugal

77.1%

🇨🇩 Congo DR

7.3%

Draw

15.5%

Topluluk tahmini9 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$1,6 B

24s Hacim$616,3

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027

9ay

≥$1.5T

98%

≥$2T

84%

≥$2.5T

51%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini12 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$2 B

24s Hacim$313,5

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Regülasyon

İlgili Kripto Varlıkları

Mexico vs. South Africa - Exact Score

Anthropic IPO by __?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Exact Score

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

United States vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

Netherlands vs. Japan - Exact Score

Spain vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score

Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score

What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador - Exact Score

IR Iran vs. New Zealand - Exact Score

Germany vs. Curaçao - Exact Score

Australia vs. Türkiye - Exact Score

Brazil vs. Morocco - Exact Score

Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

France vs. Senegal - Exact Score

Argentina vs. Algeria - Exact Score

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia - Exact Score

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

Portugal vs. DR Congo - Exact Score

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

🇩🇪GER vs 🇨🇼CUW [World Cup '26]

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score

🇲🇽MEX vs 🇿🇦RSA [World Cup '26]

Belgium vs. Egypt - Exact Score

Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

Game 5: Vegas at Carolina: Total Points

🇨🇦CAN vs 🇧🇦BIH [World Cup '26]

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC - Exact Score

England vs. Croatia - Exact Score

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

South Africa vs. Korea Republic - Exact Score

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

Jordan vs. Argentina - Exact Score

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

Norway vs. France - Exact Score

Canada vs. Qatar - Exact Score

New Zealand vs. Belgium - Exact Score

Czechia vs. Mexico - Exact Score

SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026

🇵🇹POR vs 🇨🇩COD [World Cup '26]

SpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027