Regulation | Tahmin Piyasaları

Mexico vs. South Africa - Exact Score

14s

1 - 0

+2.0%19%

2 - 0

17%

1 - 1

11%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$116,8 B

24s Hacim$56,2 B

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by __?

12.5%1y

December 31,

90%

October 31,

-12.5%68%

September 30,

+5.0%17%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

100 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$250,5 B

24s Hacim$20,6 B

POLYMARKET

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

2.0%6ay

Evet

-0.0%46%

Hayır

+0.0%55%

100 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$1,3 Mn

24s Hacim$5,6 B

POLYMARKET

Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Exact Score

0.5%21s

1 - 1

+0.5%15%

1 - 0

+2.0%13%

0 - 0

+0.4%11%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$16,6 B

24s Hacim$10,3 B

POLYMARKET

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

0.2%

70-80B

-1.2%95%

80-90B

-0.2%2%

50-60B

-0.3%1%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$334,5 B

24s Hacim$7,7 B

POLYMARKET

United States vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

1 - 0

-1.0%14%

1 - 1

+2.0%14%

Any Other Score

+8.5%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$10,5 B

24s Hacim$1,3 B

POLYMARKET

Netherlands vs. Japan - Exact Score

1.0%3g

Any Other Score

-0.5%27%

1 - 1

+2.0%14%

1 - 0

+0.5%12%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$69,5 B

24s Hacim$3 B

POLYMARKET

Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score

1.5%2g

Any Other Score

+18.5%30%

0 - 2

-1.0%16%

0 - 1

13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2,4 B

24s Hacim$1,5 B

POLYMARKET

Spain vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score

1.5%4g

Any Other Score

-6.0%27%

3 - 0

+3.0%17%

2 - 0

+1.5%16%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2,5 B

24s Hacim$1,8 B

POLYMARKET

What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]

Kill everyone - Liron

Make fine distinctions of taste at the level of a food critic or a culinary professional - carl feynman

8.8%

teleoperate a robot to tidy up random kitchens - Gary Marcus

34.5%

+36 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini301 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$72 B

24s Hacim$25 B

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador - Exact Score

0.1%3g

Any Other Score

+19.6%26%

0 - 0

-1.0%14%

1 - 0

-28.0%14%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2 B

24s Hacim$1,1 B

POLYMARKET

IR Iran vs. New Zealand - Exact Score

0.5%4g

Any Other Score

-3.0%30%

1-0

13%

1-1

+0.5%12%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$1,7 B

24s Hacim$1,4 B

POLYMARKET

Germany vs. Curaçao - Exact Score

3.0%3g

Any Other Score

+7.0%54%

3 - 0

-0.5%16%

2 - 0

-3.0%8%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$2 B

24s Hacim$1,2 B

POLYMARKET

Australia vs. Türkiye - Exact Score

1.0%2g

Any Other Score

+16.0%25%

0 - 1

+0.5%13%

0 - 2

+1.0%12%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$1,5 B

24s Hacim$253,9

POLYMARKET

Brazil vs. Morocco - Exact Score

0.5%2g

1 - 0

-0.5%14%

1 - 1

-1.0%13%

2 - 0

-0.5%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$5,2 B

24s Hacim$767,2

POLYMARKET

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

0.5%

1.75-2.00T

-0.5%94%

1.50-1.75T

+0.3%3%

2.00-2.25T

-0.1%2%

+4 daha fazla sonuç

68 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$208,8 B

24s Hacim$390,3

POLYMARKET

Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

0.1%2g

Any Other Score

+11.5%24%

0 - 1

+1.0%14%

0 - 2

+1.5%14%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$499,9

24s Hacim$285,5

POLYMARKET

Argentina vs. Algeria - Exact Score

1.5%5g

Any Other Score

+2.0%35%

2-0

+1.0%16%

1-0

-1.0%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$317,9

24s Hacim$288,6

POLYMARKET

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

18g

Railbird

+1.4%100%

CME

+0.5%100%

LedgerX

+20.4%100%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$118,2 B

24s Hacim$256,1

POLYMARKET

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia - Exact Score

5.0%6g

Any Other Score

-1.0%34%

0-1

-1.0%13%

0-2

+2.5%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$1 B

24s Hacim$292,2

POLYMARKET

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

2.0%1ay

$2.3B

92%

$2.5B

87%

$2.7B

-12.0%41%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$18,3 B

24s Hacim$944

POLYMARKET

France vs. Senegal - Exact Score

2.0%5g

Any Other Score

-0.5%34%

2-0

-1.0%13%

1-0

-1.5%12%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$446,3

24s Hacim$424

POLYMARKET

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

19g

Before Jul 1, 2026

99%

Before Aug 1, 2026

99%

Before Sep 1, 2026

99%

+11 daha fazla sonuç

83 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$66,8 B

24s Hacim$108,1

KALSHI

Portugal vs. DR Congo - Exact Score

3.0%6g

Any Other Score

+18.5%35%

2-0

-35.0%14%

3-0

+3.0%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$418,8

24s Hacim$393,9

POLYMARKET

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

27.0%6ay

OpenAI

-27.0%60%

Discord

+11.0%62%

Databricks

-4.0%8%

+22 daha fazla sonuç

68 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likiditeSonuca yakın

Toplam Hacim$18,3 B

24s Hacim$280,7

KALSHI

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score

0.5%1g

Any Other Score

+25.0%32%

1-0

-0.5%13%

1-1

+1.5%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$555,4

24s Hacim$202,4

POLYMARKET

Belgium vs. Egypt - Exact Score

0.5%4g

Any Other Score

+26.5%34%

1 - 0

14%

2 - 0

+0.5%13%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$212

24s Hacim$199,2

POLYMARKET

Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

24y

Commercial fusion power

39.6%

Regenerative Medicine

90%

Solar panels with 40% efficiency

83.6%

+85 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini274 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$84 B

24s Hacim$109

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🇧🇦BIH vs 🇶🇦QAT [World Cup '26]

13g

🇧🇦 Bosnia-Herzegovina

60%

🇶🇦 Qatar

14.5%

Draw

25.5%

Topluluk tahmini5 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$2,1 B

24s Hacim$1,1 B

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

41.0%3ay

Before Oct 1, 2026

-41.0%16%

Before Jan 1, 2027

-21.0%67%

Before Jul 1, 2026

+11 daha fazla sonuç

68 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$7,7 B

24s Hacim$440,1

KALSHI

England vs. Croatia - Exact Score

37.0%6g

1-0

-36.0%11%

1-1

-2.5%11%

2-0

-37.5%10%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite

Toplam Hacim$460,8

24s Hacim$248,1

POLYMARKET

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

1.0%6ay

Evet

-1.0%15%

Hayır

85%

60 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$16 B

24s Hacim$200,7

KALSHI

South Africa vs. Korea Republic - Exact Score

25.0%13g

0-0

+3.5%48%

0-3

+2.0%48%

1-3

+2.5%48%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$295,6

24s Hacim$295,6

POLYMARKET

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

18g

June 30

23%

May 31

-4.5%0%

44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likidite

Toplam Hacim$13,6 B

24s Hacim$114,2

POLYMARKET

Jordan vs. Argentina - Exact Score

1.0%16g

Any Other Score

+15.5%41%

0-2

-4.0%11%

1-2

-1.0%9%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$363,3

24s Hacim$123,3

POLYMARKET

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

6ay

≥$1T

100%

≥$1.25T

100%

≥$1.5T

98%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini18 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$3,4 B

24s Hacim$438,7

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Norway vs. France - Exact Score

1.5%15g

Any Other Score

35%

0-1

-3.0%10%

1-0

+0.5%9%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$140,1

24s Hacim$127,6

POLYMARKET

Canada vs. Qatar - Exact Score

1.0%7g

Any Other Score

+1.5%35%

2-0

-5.0%13%

1-0

-4.5%11%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$134,2

24s Hacim$128,6

POLYMARKET

New Zealand vs. Belgium - Exact Score

1.5%15g

Any Other Score

35%

0-2

-4.0%12%

0-1

-3.0%10%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$123,3

24s Hacim$123,3

POLYMARKET

Czechia vs. Mexico - Exact Score

1.0%13g

Any Other Score

35%

0-1

-3.5%10%

1-0

+14 daha fazla sonuç

56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$121,6

24s Hacim$121,6

POLYMARKET

SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026

3ay

≥$1T

100%

≥$1.25T

100%

≥$1.5T

98%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini13 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$3 B

24s Hacim$334,2

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🇵🇹POR vs 🇨🇩COD [World Cup '26]

🇵🇹 Portugal

77.1%

🇨🇩 Congo DR

7.3%

Draw

15.5%

Topluluk tahmini9 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$1,6 B

24s Hacim$616,3

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027

9ay

≥$1.5T

98%

≥$2T

84%

≥$2.5T

51%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini12 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$2 B

24s Hacim$313,5

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🇲🇽MEX vs 🇿🇦RSA [World Cup '26]

17s

🇲🇽 Mexico

70%

🇿🇦 South Africa

9.8%

Draw

20.2%

Topluluk tahmini20 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$1,2 B

24s Hacim$403,4

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2027

≥$1.75T

97%

≥$2.25T

64.9%

≥$3T

58.2%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Topluluk tahmini7 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$1,2 B

24s Hacim$378,7

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC - Exact Score

3.5%1g

Any Other Score

+11.0%33%

1-3

-3.5%27%

3-3

-3.5%27%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$867,1

24s Hacim$125

POLYMARKET

🇺🇸USA vs 🇵🇾PAR [World Cup '26]

🇺🇸 United States

52%

🇵🇾 Paraguay

21.5%

Draw

26.5%

Topluluk tahmini17 tahminciTür: multiple choice

Toplam Hacim$733,1

24s Hacim$336,2

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score

0.5%7g

3-2

+3.0%47%

0-0

+0.5%45%

3-1

+1.0%45%

+14 daha fazla sonuç

44 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik

Toplam Hacim$324,7

24s Hacim$244

POLYMARKET

Regülasyon

İlgili Kripto Varlıkları

Mexico vs. South Africa - Exact Score

Anthropic IPO by __?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Exact Score

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

United States vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

Netherlands vs. Japan - Exact Score

Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score

Spain vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score

What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador - Exact Score

IR Iran vs. New Zealand - Exact Score

Germany vs. Curaçao - Exact Score

Australia vs. Türkiye - Exact Score

Brazil vs. Morocco - Exact Score

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

Argentina vs. Algeria - Exact Score

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia - Exact Score

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

France vs. Senegal - Exact Score

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

Portugal vs. DR Congo - Exact Score

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score

Belgium vs. Egypt - Exact Score

Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

🇧🇦BIH vs 🇶🇦QAT [World Cup '26]

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

England vs. Croatia - Exact Score

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

South Africa vs. Korea Republic - Exact Score

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

Jordan vs. Argentina - Exact Score

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

Norway vs. France - Exact Score

Canada vs. Qatar - Exact Score

New Zealand vs. Belgium - Exact Score

Czechia vs. Mexico - Exact Score

SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026

🇵🇹POR vs 🇨🇩COD [World Cup '26]

SpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027

🇲🇽MEX vs 🇿🇦RSA [World Cup '26]

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2027

Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC - Exact Score

🇺🇸USA vs 🇵🇾PAR [World Cup '26]

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score