Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
One-OffRegülasyonPolitikaABD Siyaseti2ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 21:13 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 94.6%
Tahminciler
20
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
27 dakika önce güncellendi
15 Şub 26 11:44 UTC30 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
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PredictItKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if prediction markets are banned in the United States before 31 December 2026.
- A ban is defined as a federal prohibition that prevents the operation of prediction market platforms or makes it illegal for U.S. residents to trade on prediction markets.
- State-level bans or restrictions do not trigger a YES resolution.
- The market resolves NO if prediction markets continue to operate legally under federal CFTC oversight through 31 December 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the CFTC, Congress, or federal courts establishing a nationwide ban.
