Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
SporOne-OffChessPolitikaSociety & Culture1y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 82%
Tahminciler
120
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Oca 23 19:12 UTC1 Oca 28 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Erik Hoel create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRepublicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by which date?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight.
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
Açık piyasalar
Sports
KALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka-7.0pt62.4%
- Linda Noskova+7.0pt37.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺715,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺685 Mn
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+50.0pt87.3%
- Tie-17.0pt9.8%
- Club Brugge-32.0pt2.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺127,7 Mn
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺878,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺108,8 Mn
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺106,6 Mn
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Waltert vs Masarova
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 82% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.
- Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight.