Which Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçim1ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiMinnesota - Penny Flanagan 97.2%12 seçenek arasında lider
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5
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+47.2 pts
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7 dakika önce güncellendi
6 Eyl 26 20:16 UTC3 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
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KalshiKurallar
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model
- on election day 2026 after the polls are closed, I will check Nate Silvers election poll model to resolve this market.
- If the Democratic candidate in the race is leading, their answer will resolve yes.
- If they are losing, resolves no.
- If the Democratic candidate is tied, resolves no.
- Resolves according to the Democratic candidate.