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29 Haz 2026 03:43 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2
Güncel topluluk tahmini[Baseline Politics] Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms (Nate: 85%) 90.6%113 seçenek arasında lider
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[Baseline Politics] Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms (Nate: 85%)91%
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Based on Nate Silver's article (although I think he skipped #86):
- https://www.natesilver.net/p/113-predictions-for-trumps-second
- All predictions without and end date will be assumed to be on the last day of Trump's term, 1/20/2029.
- I will take a snapshot of the percentages on 2/9/2025 (to hopefully get enough volume) to track for this market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/trumps-second-term-will-manifold-ou?play=true) Also See:
- @/StopPunting/which-trump-2028-term-prediction-ca