Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 93.5%
Tahminciler
29
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Oca 26 00:10 UTC1 Oca 27 08:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Did Jeffrey Epstein kill himself?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?
Manifold MarketsWill Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketKurallar
Will resolve to NO if and only if I intentionally eat non-vegan food at some point before 12:00 AM EST on January 1st, 2027.
- For simplicity, this market only concerns my diet, and not e.g. purchasing leather (unless I eat it afterwards).
- Eating the following will NOT be sufficient for the market to resolve NO: clams, oysters, scallops, and similarly simple animals, as long as I am sufficiently confident they're not sentient that I judge eating them to be morally justifiable; lab-grown meat; honey, if I change my mind on whether eating it is justifiable; vitamins and drugs
- Eating the following WILL be sufficient to resolve NO: non-human animal flesh, gelatin, dairy, and eggs, except as specified above.
- (This list is not exhaustive.)
- Eating animal products on accident will not be sufficient for NO.