Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 81.7%
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22
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
23 dakika önce güncellendi
2 Kas 26 17:34 UTC4 Kas 26 01:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Nate Silver be right about the House? [231-251 seats]
Manifold MarketsWhich Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
Manifold MarketsWill Keith Rabois win his (not actual) bet against Nate Silver?
Manifold MarketsWhat price will (Nate) Silver hit in 2026? (read desc.!)
Manifold MarketsWhich Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
PolymarketWho will control the House?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves yes if Nate gets every seat below correct:
- [image]Update 2026-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Toss-up seats count as correct either way; Nate only needs to get the other 48 seats correct.