Will it be illegal to give a child an adult phone before 2036?
AvrupaOne-OffRegülasyonToplum ve Kültür9y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 78.9%
Hayır 78.9%Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
25 dakika önce güncellendi
25 Eki 26 09:37 UTC31 Ara 35 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Adult tooth regrowth commercially available in 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the sale of new gas cars be illegal in California in 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the sale of new gas cars be illegal in Illinois in 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the sale of new gas cars be illegal in Washington in 2035?
Manifold MarketsEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that, before January 1st 2036, at least 5 of these 9 countries (US, UK, France, Australia, Canada, Japan, Germany, Italy, and South Korea) have legally enforceable restrictions prohibiting the provision or enabling of ordinary adult-level phone access for children under 16.
- An adult phone is a general-purpose personal communication device operating with the access privileges ordinarily available to adults, without additional child-specific restrictions.
- The reference point is a standard, unsupervised iPhone, Android, or GrapheneOS smartphone in 2026, with general internet access, third-party apps, social media, and messaging.
- A child phone is an equivalent device operating under additional, legally mandated age-based restrictions.
- Adult and child phones may use identical hardware, with the distinction existing entirely in software, accounts, permissions, or other technical controls.
- Crucially, "unrestricted" is relative to what adults are legally and practically permitted to use at the time, not an absolute requirement to preserve 2026 capabilities.