Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
EkonomiOne-OffChinaJeopolitikMacro & Economy13yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 63.6%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Şub 22 20:40 UTC1 Oca 40 05:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will China ever surpass US gdp?
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KalshiKurallar
This question resolves to YES if China surpasses the United States before January 1st 2040 Eastern Time on ALL three of the following metrics:
- Nominal GDP per the International Monetary Fund.
- If the IMF ceases to exist or stops publishing figures, I'll choose another organization at my discretion.
- Military expenditures per the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.
- If the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute ceases to exist or stops publishing figures, I'll choose another organization at my discretion.
- The Nature Index.
Açık piyasalar
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53%
- No change-3.0pt46%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺98 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mn
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺604,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺604,1 B
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺428 B
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺374,6 B
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+2.0pt6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺165 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺284 B
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Recession in 2027?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- CPI in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI core in August
- Unemployment in September
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 64% fiyatlıyor.
- Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2040.
- Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This question resolves to YES if China surpasses the United States before January 1st 2040 Eastern Time on ALL three of the following metrics: