Will brazilians be better off at the end of 2026?
InflationOne-OffHealth & MedicineEkonomiTrade PolicyLatin AmericaCentral Banks3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 54.6%
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Oca 26 15:51 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, Brazilians are better off overall compared to January 1, 2026 across three dimensions: economic conditions, health, and employment.
- Resolution will be based on official data from credible sources including the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), the Central Bank of Brazil, and international organizations (IMF, World Bank, OECD).
- Economic indicators: Real GDP growth, inflation rate, real wages, and household purchasing power measured via official statistics.
- Health indicators: Life expectancy, infant mortality, healthcare access metrics, or disease prevalence data from Brazil's Ministry of Health or WHO.
- Employment indicators: Unemployment rate, employment levels, labor force participation, and wage growth from IBGE.
Açık piyasalar
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53%
- No change-3.0pt46%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺100,4 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mn
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+2.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺429,4 B
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)+2.0pt41.5%
- 0 (0 bps)+1.0pt28.3%
- 2 (50 bps)+3.0pt23.6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
- CPI core in August
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will brazilians be better off at the end of 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 55% fiyatlıyor.
- Will brazilians be better off at the end of 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will brazilians be better off at the end of 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will brazilians be better off at the end of 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria