Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work?
EkonomiOne-OffSociety & Culture4yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 81.3%
Tahminciler
22
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 May 24 12:23 UTC25 Ara 30 04:59 UTC
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She wrote this article: https://www.palladiummag.com/2024/05/17/my-last-five-years-of-work/.
- She actually speculates she might only work for 3 more years.
- Resolves to YES if Avital Balwit has gainful or plausibly impactful employment, including self-employment but excluding household work and raising children, during the year 2030, constituting an average of at least 20 hours/week of work over some 6 month period.
- Domestic work such as child care does not count towards this.
- Resolves to NO if Avital Balwit does not have such gainful or plausibly impactful employment to this extent, for any reason.
- Resolves to 50% if we have no idea what she is up to.
Açık piyasalar
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- Above -0.3%99%
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- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
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- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
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- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 81% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 25 Aralık 2030.
- Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: She wrote this article: https://www.palladiummag.com/2024/05/17/my-last-five-years-of-work/.