If a Nobel Prize for Economics is awarded to work on prediction markets before 2040, will the recipient be Robin Hanson?

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-0.1pt4%
• October 31+0.1pt1%

+5 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

₺3,8 Mr

24s Hacim

₺4,5 Mn

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt23.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202814.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.2pt4.8%

POLYMARKET

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

• June 30-23.5pt25%
• December 31-5.0pt5%

Toplam Hacim

₺1,5 Mn

24s Hacim

₺356,3 B

KALSHI

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

• Hodge Conjecture-4.0pt32%
• Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture-8.0pt16%
• Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem-31.0pt

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 27, 2026?

• 5.7 to 5.8+41.9pt87.4%
• 5.3 to 5.4-8.6pt4.5%
• 5.5 to 5.6-4.5pt2.7%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 28, 2026?

• 5.9 to 6.034%
• 6.1 or more26%
• 5.5 to 5.6-1.5pt16%

+3 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim