KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hodge Conjecture 92%+45.0pt5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
33 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺19,7 B
Likidite
₺58,4 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
85.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
12 Eyl 26 22:00 UTC1 Oca 45 04:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketWhen will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
KalshiKurallar
If the named outcome is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The GuardianNational Academy of Sciences of the United StatesFinancial TimesAssociated Pressthe Clay Mathematics InstituteNaturearXiv preprint repository operated by Cornell UniversityRoyal Societythe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Washington Postthe New York TimesMax Planck SocietyAmerican Association for the Advancement of ScienceBritish Broadcasting CorporationQuanta MagazineThe Wall Street JournalFrench Academy of SciencesBloomberg NewsReutersProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesThe Economist
- A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:
- A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.
- The Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.
- If multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? · Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness 98%
Açık piyasalar
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.7pt4%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6 Mn
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-0.8pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺15,2 Mn
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-2.0pt74.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-0.1pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes+3.4pt77%
- No23%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺68 B
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+2.0pt34%
- Above 1+4.0pt18%
- Above 2-2.0pt4%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
- When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
- When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
- US solar capacity installed in 2026
Sık sorulan sorular
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 17 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Hodge Conjecture için 92% fiyatlıyor.
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2045.
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the named outcome is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Manifold Markets.