Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
InflationOne-OffEkonomiYZMacro & Economy8y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 75%
Tahminciler
22
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
19 dakika önce güncellendi
3 Şub 25 09:03 UTC1 Oca 35 04:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Historically, the U.S. economy has taken about 15–20 years to double in size when looking at nominal GDP.
- For example, it rose from roughly $10 trillion in 2000 to about $20 trillion in 2017.
- Some experts now argue that artificial intelligence could drive faster growth, potentially allowing the economy to double every 10 years—much shorter than the usual historical timeline.
- This question focuses on whether AI-driven productivity gains will accelerate U.S. economic expansion enough to double nominal GDP from 2025 to 2035.
- Resolution Criteria
- Data Source: The annual nominal (current-dollar) GDP figures published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
Açık piyasalar
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53%
- No change-3.0pt46%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺100,4 Mn
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- Above 2.6%99%
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+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mn
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- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+2.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺429,4 B
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
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- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)+2.0pt41.5%
- 0 (0 bps)+1.0pt28.3%
- 2 (50 bps)+3.0pt23.6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
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İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 75% fiyatlıyor.
- Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2035.
- Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Historically, the U.S. economy has taken about 15–20 years to double in size when looking at nominal GDP.