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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?

2.5% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine18d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 12%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

1,4 mil €

Liquidez

5,2 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

11.0% / 13.0%

Spread

18.2%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-12.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 minutos

28/05/26, 19:5930/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes12%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.543151° N, 35.368104° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.543151° N, 35.368104° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.