PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado
Probabilidade implícita atual
August 11 100%
Líder entre 21 opções
Qualidade do mercado
51 / 100
Qualidade média
Volume 24h
10,7 mil €
Liquidez
54,5 mil €
Alta liquidez
Spread
34.0 pt
Spread amplo
Comments
0
Variação 7d
+4.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
11/08/26, 8:2031/08/26, 20:59
Tendências
Resultado24hProbabilidade
August 11
100%
August 12
100%
August 16
100%
August 18
100%
August 19
100%
August 20
100%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv.
An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia target Kyiv on??
A Polymarket cota August 11 em 100% em 23 de agosto de 2026.
Quando Will Russia target Kyiv on? é resolvido?
Will Russia target Kyiv on? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de agosto de 2026.
Como Will Russia target Kyiv on? é liquidado?
A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time.