Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?

12.0% (24h)Russia / UkraineOne-OffTecnologia1m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa

Probabilidade implícita atual

Sim 12%-0.1%

Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média

Volume 24h

1 mil €

Liquidez

2,7 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

10.0% / 14.0%

Spread

40.0%

Spread amplo

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

5/06/26, 22:3731/07/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes12%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?

12.0% (24h)Russia / UkraineOne-OffTecnologia1m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa

Probabilidade implícita atual

Sim 12%-0.1%

Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média

Volume 24h

1 mil €

Liquidez

2,7 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

10.0% / 14.0%

Spread

40.0%

Spread amplo

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

5/06/26, 22:3731/07/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes12%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

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81,8 mil €

December 31: 16%

POLYMARKET

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675,6 €

Before February: 0%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

447 €

Sim: 14.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €

Sim: 19%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,604.58+2.36%

EthereumETH$1,650.76+1.70%

SolanaSOL$65.09+1.42%

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.77%

BNBBNB$594.25+1.58%

XRPXRP$1.12+0.22%

Notícias Relacionadas

Google Unveils Gemini 3.5 and AI Upgrades at I/O 2026Blockchain.News

Nvidia may power Apple’s biggest Siri upgrade after years of delayCrypto News

Russia sanctions British teenager for alleging A7A5 use in funding Ukraine warCoindesk

Big tech is 'terrified' of AI agents wiping out ad revenue, says Billions Network CEOCoindesk

Modern robots impress, but are years away from replacing humansCointelegraph

Peace talks eyed as 2027 deadline looms, markets edge NoBlockchain.News

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.