PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
September 30 11%-0.5ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
57 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
193,9 €
Liquidez
2,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
8
Variação 7d
-20.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
13/04/26, 22:49 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna volytsia x Peremohy volytsia at 48.492703° N, 37.607318° E in Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by which date??
- A Polymarket cota September 30 em 11% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by which date? é resolvido?
- Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna volytsia x Peremohy volytsia at 48.492703° N, 37.607318° E in Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.