PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No
Resolvido: 4 de fev. de 2024, 01:01
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 100%
Qualidade do mercado
15 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 123 dias
Desatualizado6/12/23, 23:1631/12/23, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regras
If Google deploys an LLM that reaches the top of the Elo leaderboard on https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only models accessible to the public (e.g. developers or public sign-ups) will count for this market.
- If Google deploys a new model in 2023 that could reach the top of the leaderboard but is not yet ranked at year's end due to time required for evaluation, this market's resolution may be delayed until February 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- If at this point the resolution source still does not list the new model's ELO, the underlying script(s) will be used to determine whether google's model tops the leaderboard.
- Note that the model must be released by the resolution date to be considered (if they release a new version of the model after the resolution date, it will not be considered for this market).
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T+0.3pt98%
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- Volume total
- € 3,6 mi
- Volume 24h
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- Z.ai+12.2pt95%
- Google-2.1pt4%
- Nvidia+0.3pt1%
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- Enterprise+3.0pt99%
- Agentic+16.0pt99%
- Contact Center+6.0pt99%
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- Claude-0.8pt65.7%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt11.8%
- Grok+0.4pt10.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 8 mi
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX-7.5pt58.2%
- Anthropic+4.5pt40.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba+0.7pt95%
- Z.ai+0.3pt4%
- Moonshot-0.6pt1%
+8 mais resultados
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Google have the best LLM before 2024??
- A Polymarket cota No em 100% em 24 de abril de 2026.
- Quando Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? é resolvido?
- Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2023.
- Como Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Google deploys an LLM that reaches the top of the Elo leaderboard on https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".