PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 86%-1.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
11 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
13.0% / 16.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
4
Variação 7d
+2.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
3/12/25, 17:17 UTC31/12/26, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029?
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KalshiEURUSD price on Sep 11 at 5:00 PM EDT
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the governing coalition consisting of CDU/CSU and SPD breaks by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- For the purposes of this market, the coalition is considered broken if either CDU/CSU or SPD ceases to be a coalition partner in the federal government.
- A coalition break may be evidenced by: – a formal withdrawal from the coalition, – the resignation or dismissal of all ministers from one party, – or the appointment of a new federal government.
- If all ministers affiliated with one of the coalition parties resign or are dismissed, this may signal that party’s withdrawal from the coalition, even if one or more individuals remain in office as independents or continue without representing the party.
- If the coalition breaks and the sitting Chancellor remains in office with a new coalition or as a minority government, this market will still resolve to “Yes.”
Mercados abertos
Foreign ExchangeKALSHIUSD/JPY price on Sep 9, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- 153.500 to 153.74979%
- 153.250 to 153.49938%
- 153.000 to 153.24928%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,4 mil
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- Anthropic+0.5pt59.6%
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KALSHIEURUSD price on Sep 11 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Above 1.14199%
- Above 1.149+3.0pt99%
- Above 1.151+3.0pt98%
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- Volume total
- € 21,9 mil
KALSHIEUR/USD price range on Sep 9, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- 1.16400 to 1.1659954.5%
- 1.16200 to 1.1639924.2%
- 1.16600 to 1.167996.1%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 5,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,2 mil
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- 2.2M++10.0pt89.2%
- 2.1-2.2M-6.0pt4.9%
- 2.0-2.1M-2.1pt2%
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- 2.5 to 2.8M+35.0pt50.5%
- 2.2 to 2.5M-37.0pt27.7%
- 2.8 to 3.1M+6.9pt9.9%
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- What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in September 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027??
- A Polymarket cota No em 86% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the governing coalition consisting of CDU/CSU and SPD breaks by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET.