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Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado24/04/25, 21:34 UTC25/03/29, 00:59 UTC
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Will the mainstream parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?
- Resolves after the next German federal election (scheduled for no later than March 2029, unless early elections are called).
- Definition of "mainstream" Parties:
- Included as "mainstream": CDU/CSU, FDP, SPD, Greens
- Not included as "mainstream": AfD, BSW, Die Linke (Left Party) Other parties will be classified based on their policy positions relative to this spectrum
- "Majority" means collectively holding more than 50% of seats in the Bundestag
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election) é resolvido?
- Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election) deverá ser resolvido em 25 de março de 2029.
- Como Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will the mainstream parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?