Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
9.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição1a
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
J.D. Vance 30.3%-9.5ptLíder entre 10 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
119,4 €
Liquidez
57,2 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+24.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
21/07/26, 23:00 UTC1/01/28, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiWhich of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWill Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?
KalshiWill Jon Ossoff announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Stephen A. Smith announce a run for president before 2028?
PredictItWill Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItRegras
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise.
- An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
- The listed individuals are: the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome Jr., the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, and the named outcome.
- An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority.
- A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".