Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição2a
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Andy Beshear 26.2%Líder entre 11 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
75,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+0.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
10/07/26, 01:36 UTC1/01/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
Regras
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise.
- An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
- The listed individuals are: the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, and the named outcome.
- An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority.
- A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
