KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 75%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
465,6 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
22.0% / 25.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
23/09/25, 14:00 UTC1/03/28, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026?
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If Joe Manchin has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028??
- A Kalshi cota No em 75% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028? é resolvido?
- Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de março de 2028.
- Como Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Joe Manchin has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.