PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Over 2.5 64.1%Líder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
37 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
6,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
17/08/26, 19:35 UTC1/04/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves based on the peak RONI — the single highest Regional Ocean Niño Index (RONI) value reported by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) across the overlapping three-month seasons ASO 2026, SON 2026, OND 2026, NDJ 2026-27, and DJF 2026-27, as published in official NOAA CPC RONI updates (https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/).
- See each individual market for its bracket and full resolution terms.
- This market may resolve immediately once NOAA has published a RONI value that determines the peak: the "the named outcome" outcome resolves "Yes" as soon as any listed season reaches +2.5°C or above.
- Any other outcome will not be confirmed until NOAA publishes the DJF 2026-27 value, since RONI can still rise in a later season and DJF captures El Niño's typical peak-strength window.
- The first published RONI value for each listed season is final and governs resolution; no subsequent revision to a season's value will change the outcome once that season's first value has been published.
- If CPC's RONI dataset is permanently discontinued, other information from NOAA may be used.
Mercados abertos
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
- 32°C+69.0pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 28°C-0.3pt0%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 154,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 148,6 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+20.0pt99%
- Miami-4.0pt70%
- New Orleans-7.0pt59%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 92,3 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 8?
- 19°C+54.0pt98%
- 20°C-31.0pt2%
- 16°C or below-0.2pt0%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above63.8%
- 88° to 89°19.1%
- 86° to 87°13.3%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 84,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 79,3 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
- 25°C+94.5pt100%
- 19°C or below-3.0pt0%
- 20°C-6.0pt0%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
- 29°C+70.5pt100%
- 26°C or below-8.4pt0%
- 27°C-10.4pt0%
+8 mais resultados
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Miami on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño??
- A Polymarket cota Over 2.5 em 64% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño? é resolvido?
- What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de abril de 2027.
- Como What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves based on the peak RONI — the single highest Regional Ocean Niño Index (RONI) value reported by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) across the overlapping three-month seasons ASO 2026, SON 2026, OND 2026, NDJ 2026-27, and DJF 2026-27, as published in official NOAA CPC RONI updates (https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/).