KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
At least 2.5°C 69.1%Líder entre 6 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
2,2 mil €
Baixa liquidezDados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
2/07/26, 23:005/04/27, 14:00
Tendências
Regras
If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
- The peak RONI value is determined solely from values published in the NOAA CPC official RONI table that are designated as final (non-preliminary).
- For La Niña contracts, the peak RONI value refers to the single most negative (i.e., lowest) RONI value.
- The latest Expiration Date shall be one week after the Source Agency publishes the final RONI value for the last three-month period falling within the time period.
- However, if the peak RONI value necessary to determine the Market Outcome can be conclusively established prior to that date (e.g., the season has formally ended and all relevant values are final), expiration may be moved to an earlier date and time.
- If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is between 0.5 and 0.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
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- 76° to 77°+11.0pt56.2%
- 75° or below+14.0pt33.3%
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- Newark+26.0pt99%
- Boston+12.0pt99%
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POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
- 28°C+39.0pt47.2%
- 29°C+1.5pt26.4%
- 30°C-17.0pt21.7%
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KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay-4.0pt24.8%
- Edouard-4.0pt19.5%
- Gonzalo+3.0pt17.7%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 1, 2026?
- 82° or below+39.0pt85.7%
- 83° to 84°-18.0pt10.5%
- 85° to 86°-13.0pt0.9%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHILowest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- 77° to 78°67.3%
- 79° to 80°-8.0pt24%
- 75° to 76°-7.0pt5.8%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 37,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season??
- A Kalshi cota At least 2.5°C em 69% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season? é resolvido?
- What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season? deverá ser resolvido em 5 de abril de 2027.
- Como What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.