KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
At least 3.0°C 48.1%Líder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
59 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
20,7 €
Liquidez
23,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
24/06/26, 23:00 UTC15/08/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:NOAA Climate Prediction Center
- The peak RONI value is determined solely from values published in the NOAA CPC official RONI table that are designated as final (non-preliminary).
- For La Niña contracts, the peak RONI value refers to the single most negative (i.e., lowest) RONI value.
- The latest Expiration Date shall be one week after the Source Agency publishes the final RONI value for the last three-month period falling within the time period.
- However, if the peak RONI value necessary to determine the Market Outcome can be conclusively established prior to that date (e.g., the season has formally ended and all relevant values are final), expiration may be moved to an earlier date and time.
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 1.5 and 1.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
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- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
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- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
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- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
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- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
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- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 66,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 28,6 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season??
- A Kalshi cota At least 3.0°C em 48% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? é resolvido?
- What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? deverá ser resolvido em 15 de agosto de 2027.
- Como What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.