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  3. Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEuropeGeopolítica6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 9%-0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

2,7 mil €

Liquidez

17,6 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

7.0% / 11.0%

Spread

57.1%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-4.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

16/01/26, 17:4131/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes9%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$65,859.12+2.35%EthereumETH$1,722.01+2.69%SolanaSOL$71.16+4.05%DogecoinDOGE$0.0888+1.54%XRPXRP$1.19+3.51%BNBBNB$617.89+1.45%

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.