PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: June 30
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual
June 30 100%+88.0ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
88,1 mil €
Liquidez
318,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+70.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 108 dias
Desatualizado26/12/25, 19:4430/06/26, 0:00
Tendências
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Nigerian soil or any official Nigerian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Nigerian ground territory or any official Nigerian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Nigerian soil is hit by a US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Nigerian territory or cause damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date??
- A Polymarket cota June 30 em 100% em 16 de maio de 2026.
- Quando U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date? é resolvido?
- U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de junho de 2026.
- Como U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Nigerian soil or any official Nigerian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.