PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
37.5–37.9 43.1%+26.0ptLíder entre 6 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
37.5–37.9 43.1%+26.0ptQualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 32 minutos
29/09/26, 00:22 UTC2/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% or lower before Dec 1st 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2)
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2?
PredictItUK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on October 2, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? · 38.5 to 38.7 38%