KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Below 38.5% 41.1%Líder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Below 38.5% 41.1%Qualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
164,6 mil €
Contratos em aberto
111,3 mil €
Contratos em aberto: altoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
30/09/26, 14:01 UTC1/10/26, 16:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiRegras
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Regras de cada resultado
- Below 38.5%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.5%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.8%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.6%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.7%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.9%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 39.1%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 39.1%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is above 39.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 39.0%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.