PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Colorado 99%+36.8ptLíder entre 40 opções
Qualidade do mercado
47 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
83,2 €
Liquidez
2 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
3.9 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
3/09/26, 13:00 UTC10/09/26, 13:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
PolymarketNew York J: To Break Playoff Drought
KalshiAt the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought?
Manifold MarketsWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for September: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Mercados abertos
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 125,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 603,1 mil
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-20.5pt8%
- September 30-5.5pt5%
- Volume total
- € 82,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 82,4 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.5pt90%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-0.1pt8%
- Renan Santos-0.5pt1%
+15 mais resultados
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt50.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+4.0pt42.1%
- Jair Bolsonaro+0.6pt2.8%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETParaná Governor Election Winner
- Sergio Moro-0.5pt82.8%
- Sandro Alex-1.0pt17.2%
- Requião Filho-0.3pt0%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro85.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez-1.0pt12.4%
- María Corina Machado+0.1pt1%
+13 mais resultados
- Mercyhurst vs New Mexico
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Tucuman vs River Plate
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026?
- A Polymarket cota Colorado em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026 é resolvido?
- Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026 é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.