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  3. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

5.2% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleição3m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Lula da Silva <5%
Lula da Silva <5% 34%-2.5%
Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado

64 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

257,1 €

Liquidez

100,5 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

9.7% / 11.9%

Spread

22.7%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+5.3%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

11/02/26, 22:514/10/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Lula da Silva <5%34%

KalshiTambém disponível em Kalshi

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

6.0%1a
Lula da Silva, 5-10%
Lula da Silva, 5-10%
-6.0%15%
Lula da Silva, 0-5%
Lula da Silva, 0-5%
45%
Lula da Silva, 10-15%
Lula da Silva, 10-15%
0%

+8 mais resultados

28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total7,6 €
Volume 24h0 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regras

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
  • For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
  • This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,767.61+1.84%EthereumETH$1,656.56+1.23%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.43%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.18%XRPXRP$1.12+0.40%BNBBNB$598.88+2.03%

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Regras

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
  • For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
  • This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.