Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
0.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoLatin America
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Fujimori 0.2–0.3% (100%)
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atualFujimori 0.2–0.3% 100%+0.5ptLíder entre 23 opções
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+2.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 dias
DesatualizadoLinha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%100%
Fujimori 1%+1%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%21%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%36%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%1%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%3%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%15%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%0%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%0%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%0%
Fujimori 0–0.1%0%
Sánchez 0–0.1%1%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%9%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%0%
Other3%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%0%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%0%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%0%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Baixa | 100% | — | 1,1 mil € | 0 € | há 22 dias | |
 Kalshi82% de correspondência · verificado | Baixa | 94% | — | 0 € | 37,1 mil € | há 24 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?
Fechados
Resolvido
Keiko Fujimori, 0-3% (94%)
81%
6.9%
5.2%
+7 mais resultados
19 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoAlta liquidez
Volume total76,2 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegras
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$5.6k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? — Yespemul2shá 25 dias
POLYMARKETWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? — Yespemul2shá 25 diasTendência de volume
$1.3k2 de jul.4d de dados5 de jul.
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The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.