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  3. Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?
Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?

Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?

3.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoLatin America12m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%
Roberto Sánchez, 0-3% 3%-3.0%
Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

32,3 €

Liquidez

376 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

2.0% / 3.0%

Spread

50.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 minutos

21/05/26, 21:007/06/27, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%3%

Regras

If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.