KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% 54%Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado
59 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
108,4 €
Liquidez
10,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
23/04/26, 04:00 UTC4/10/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
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KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
LimitlessBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
PolymarketRegras
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva <5% 41%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva <5% 39%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
- A Kalshi cota Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% em 54% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory é resolvido?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory deverá ser resolvido em 4 de outubro de 2027.
- Como Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket, Limitless.