Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
6.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoLatin America1a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualLula da Silva, 5-10% 15%-6.0%Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado
28 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
6,3 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
15.0% / 22.0%
Spread
46.7%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
23/04/26, 4:004/10/27, 14:00
Tendências
0%
0%
Resultado escolhido
Lula da Silva, 5-10%15%
Também disponível em Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
5.2%3m
-2.5%34%
+3.5%32%
-2.0%11%
+8 mais resultados
64 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total207,1 mil €
Volume 24h257,2 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lula da Silva minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Lula da Silva minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lula da Silva wins, or the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lula da Silva does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lula da Silva minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Lula da Silva minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lula da Silva wins, or the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lula da Silva does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.